Earth's energy budget describes the balance between the incoming solar radiation (shortwave) received from the Sun and the outgoing thermal radiation (longwave infrared) emitted by Earth back into space.
For a stable climate, these two fluxes must be equal. Any persistent imbalance drives warming or cooling.
The Sun emits radiation predominantly as visible light and near-infrared (shortwave). Of the total solar energy reaching the top of the atmosphere:
| Fate of Incoming Solar Radiation | Approximate % |
|---|---|
| Reflected by clouds, atmosphere, and surface (albedo) | ~30% |
| Absorbed by atmosphere and clouds | ~20–23% |
| Absorbed by Earth's surface (land + oceans) | ~49% |
Earth's average albedo is approximately 0.30 (30% reflected).
Earth's surface, warmed by absorbed solar energy, re-emits energy as longwave infrared radiation. The rate of emission is governed by the Stefan-Boltzmann Law:
where:
Because Earth is much cooler than the Sun (~288 K vs ~5778 K), it radiates at much longer wavelengths (infrared), consistent with Wien's Displacement Law.
At equilibrium, power absorbed = power emitted:
where is albedo and is the average solar flux at Earth's surface. This gives (−18 °C) — Earth's actual average surface temperature (~288 K) is higher due to the greenhouse effect.
Greenhouse gases (, , vapour) are largely transparent to incoming shortwave solar radiation but absorb outgoing longwave infrared radiation emitted by Earth's surface. They then re-emit this energy in all directions — including back toward the surface — effectively trapping heat in the lower atmosphere.
This raises Earth's equilibrium surface temperature from ~255 K to ~288 K (~15 °C), making the planet habitable.
Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) is the net difference between absorbed solar energy and emitted infrared radiation:
The current measured EEI is approximately +0.3 to +0.9 W m⁻², indicating ongoing planetary warming driven by enhanced greenhouse forcing.
Radiative forcing quantifies how a factor (e.g., increased , changed albedo) perturbs the energy budget:
Any deviation from this balance constitutes the Earth's Energy Imbalance.